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Schönenborn projects a clear House majority alongside Senate breakthroughs

ARD's election expert combines an early congressional forecast with exit polling showing widespread anger about the country's direction.

Channel: tagesschau ·

GermanyStory of November 5, 2026Trari Newsroom

Why this story? One of tagesschau's most watched videos since yesterday, with 318,563 views.

tagesschau: The main news programme of ARD, Germany's public broadcasters, on air since 1952. 2.3M subscribers and 2.5B views.

US-Wahl: Was die überraschenden Senats-Siege der Demokraten bedeuten

Things we can learn from the video

Press to jump

0:18Schönenborn forecasts a Democratic House majority of 240 to 250 seats while counting remains incomplete.
1:07He assesses Democratic Senate control as highly likely, with some contests still unresolved.
2:15James Talarico's Texas Senate victory stands out as a major surprise on the map.
2:40Schönenborn reports Democratic wins for Annie Andrews in South Carolina, then Sherrod Brown in Ohio.
4:02Associated Press exit polling indicates three-quarters of voters are angry about the country's general direction.

A Democratic House majority looks likely to extend well beyond the minimum needed to take control, Jörg Schönenborn tells viewers in an early-results analysis. His forecast: between 240 and 250 seats, even while the tally displayed behind him remains incomplete.

The segment, carried by Germany's tagesschau, the ARD public broadcasting network's flagship television news service, captures the election before every congressional contest has been resolved. Schönenborn also judges Democratic control of the Senate highly likely. His map includes races still too close to call, an important distinction between the emerging picture and completed results.

The video is titled "US-Wahl: Was die überraschenden Senats-Siege der Demokraten bedeuten", meaning "US election: What the Democrats' surprise Senate wins mean". Its central point is the breadth of Republican-held territory changing hands, rather than any single result.

Schönenborn moves through Ohio, Michigan, Iowa and Kansas before highlighting James Talarico's Texas victory as a major surprise. He then reports Annie Andrews's win in South Carolina and Sherrod Brown's defeat of Jon Husted in Ohio. For Brown, the result marks a return to the Senate, where he previously served from 2007 to 2025.

The final explanation shifts from the map to voters' mood. Citing Associated Press exit polling, Schönenborn says three-quarters of voters are angry about the general direction of the country. That finding supplies the closing context for his account of Democratic gains across states Republicans had held.