New Zealand faces warmer days and hit-and-miss weekend downpours

Philip Duncan's forecast puts the upper North Island in focus for heavier rain, while eastern coastal areas look comparatively dry.

Channel: WeatherWatchTV Story of November 4, 2026Trari Newsroom

Why this story? One of the most watched videos since yesterday, with 24,833 views.

NZ: Daily Downpours coming, warmer weather too

Rain is heading towards New Zealand, but Philip Duncan's forecast makes an important distinction: a weakening Tasman Sea low could deliver local downpours without becoming a major storm.

In WeatherWatchTV's "NZ: Daily Downpours coming, warmer weather too", Duncan follows that low towards Friday and Saturday. The upper North Island and western and north-western parts of the South Island face downpours and isolated thunderstorms, with Saturday's maps putting particular emphasis on the Bay of Plenty.

The forecast drew about 25,000 views since yesterday. Unlike the broader November climate outlook we reported here, this is a day-by-day look at where the rain might land, and where it might miss.

Eastern areas from Hawke's Bay to Canterbury look among the driest, especially near the coast. Inland locations have a better chance of downpours. The description cautions that the rainfall maps may shift as the week develops because the heavier falls will be hit and miss.

Warmth is part of the picture too. Thursday's temperature map gives way to an even warmer Friday, with some places potentially reaching 30°C. By Sunday, Duncan shows polar air over south-eastern Australia while New Zealand remains in warmer northerly air, with afternoon showers.

For some viewers, rain is something to look forward to: comments ask for it in Ōpōtiki and Hawke's Bay, while another mentions thirsty plants. Duncan's closing assessment is similarly practical: "It is good news to get some of this rain in a number of areas."

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The numbers

The forecast added about 25,000 views since yesterday. Here is how viewing and engagement stand.

subscribers

146,000

no significant change in the last 7 days

total views

47,316,515

views per day

141,654

typical day: 66,841

the video

views

35,199

likes

952

comments

31

days online

2

subscribers: this channel and similar channels

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258,000

w2aew

233,000

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229,000

WeatherWatchTV

146,000

The Signal Path

144,000

Popular Mechanics

118,000

As of November 4, 2026 · Data source: Trari Social News, Trari Traffic Trends and Ranking Platform, Google YouTube

Subscriber, view, like and comment counts are YouTube's. Rates, usual days, rankings, comparisons and categories are Trari's own calculations.