Steve Kornacki's midterm map follows Latino voters and Obama-Trump counties
The TODAY segment moves from national polling to Texas, Ohio and Iowa, drawing an unusually large audience for the channel's Shorts.
Why this story? The video opened at a pace of 284,016 views a day, 57 times a normal first day on this channel (5,016).
Steve Kornacki on the States to Watch With Midterms 1 Week Out
Corpus Christi, Ohio's Ross County and Iowa's Dubuque County give Steve Kornacki a more local way into the midterm picture than a national poll alone can offer.
At his interactive board on TODAY, NBC News' chief data analyst starts with an unfavorable backdrop for Republicans: Trump's average disapproval is well above his approval, and Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot. He then turns to places where past results help explain what to watch in the final campaign stretch.
In Texas, Kornacki highlights Nueces County, home to Corpus Christi, where he says Trump is heading for a campaign appearance. The focus is the Latino vote, a central part of the segment's look at South Texas.
Ohio brings a different reference point: Trump's large presidential winning margin in Ross County. In Iowa, Dubuque County illustrates a longer political shift, having voted for Barack Obama twice before backing Trump in three presidential elections. Kornacki says Iowa has more counties with that voting history than any other state.
The short report drew about 231,000 views in its first 16 hours, far beyond TODAY's usual opening for this format. Its route through those county maps gives viewers specific places to watch, rather than just a national snapshot.
Published on Trari
Where next?
- Channel
- TODAY
- Subscribers
- 5,120,000
- Channel views, last 7 days
- 9,471,217
- Channel views, pace per day
- 1,094,774 (on a normal day: 1,282,382)
- Video published
- October 27, 2026
- Video views so far
- 230,867 (less than a day online)
- Video views, pace per day
- 284,016
The numbers
Kornacki's election segment is drawing views far faster than a typical TODAY Short. Its comment section is also substantially busier than the channel's usual first day.
💡 Test your knowledge
Which state contains Dubuque County, one of Kornacki's election-map stops?
Kornacki uses Iowa's Dubuque County to illustrate the shift from voting for Obama to voting for Trump.


