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Likud's first-place projection masks Netanyahu's coalition shortfall

Raviv Drucker's election-night analysis distinguishes a large anti-Netanyahu majority from a bloc capable of forming a government.

Channel: News 13 Hebrew channel ·

IsraelStory of October 28, 2026Trari Newsroom

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מדגם חדשות 13: הליכוד בראש, גוש השינוי מוביל עם 53 מנדטים

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0:23Likud is projected to take 25 seats, narrowly ahead of Yashar's 23.
2:05The bloc totals put Eisenkot's opposition at 53, Netanyahu's coalition at 50 and Arab parties at 17.
3:08The presenters compare their projection with broadly similar exit polls from two other broadcasters.
3:57Drucker argues that Netanyahu's projected coalition support leaves him unable to form a government.
5:40The panel considers a minority government, continued deadlock and another election.

Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud is projected to remain Israel's largest party, but that does not give him the parliamentary support needed to govern. An exit poll presented by Israel's Channel 13 News puts Likud narrowly ahead of Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar while leaving Netanyahu's coalition behind the opposition bloc.

The projection gives Likud 25 seats and Yashar 23. Across the blocs, Eisenkot's opposition grouping receives 53 seats, Netanyahu's governing parties 50, and the Arab parties 17. None of those groupings alone reaches the 61 seats needed for a majority in the Knesset.

That distinction drives political commentator Raviv Drucker's analysis. He describes the projected result as a political earthquake and argues that Netanyahu cannot assemble a government from the support shown for his existing coalition. The presenters count a much larger parliamentary majority opposed to Netanyahu, but the subsequent discussion makes clear that opposing him and agreeing to govern together are different things.

The broadcast opens with a countdown before revealing the party totals. Beyond the two leading parties, the projection includes Ihud Yachad, the Joint List, the Democrats, Ra'am, United Torah Judaism, Yisrael Beiteinu, Otzma Yehudit, Shas and Religious Zionism. Several smaller lists fail to cross the electoral threshold.

A comparison with the exit polls from Channel 12 and Kan 11 shows a broadly similar picture, according to the broadcast. These are projections, not final election results or an announcement of a new government.

The panel's discussion ends with several possibilities still open: a minority government, political paralysis or another election. Its central question is how the projected seats could translate into a workable governing arrangement.

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