Bauer argues France waits for confrontation before negotiating
The criminologist forecasts a November 5 protest peak in an interview spanning social unrest, weapons and child protection.
Why this story? One of Europe 1's most watched videos since yesterday, with 81,062 views.
Europe 1: A French radio station on air since 1955, owned by the Bolloré family's media group. 2.3M subscribers and 2B views.
Alain Bauer : "La mobilisation va atteindre son paroxysme le 5 novembre"
Things we can learn from the video
Press to jump
- 0:29Bauer examines the legal characterization and political handling of the attack in Trappes.
- 2:58He argues that France's political center lacks coherence on security and state authority.
- 4:42Ferrari and Bauer discuss automatic-weapons seizures and the circulation of weapons in France.
- 6:24The protest outlook begins, including Bauer's forecast that mobilization will peak on November 5.
- 8:08Bauer examines protester profiles, past riots and social networks before discussing the 2027 electoral timetable.
- 14:44His book's child-protection argument takes over, with criticism of the state's response to child sexual abuse.
France's difficulty negotiating before anger turns into confrontation is central to Alain Bauer's assessment of the country's social tensions. Speaking to Laurence Ferrari on France's radio station Europe 1, the criminologist argues that the state responds to pressure rather than resolving grievances before a crisis develops.
Bauer expects protest mobilization to peak on November 5. The interview's title, "Alain Bauer : \"La mobilisation va atteindre son paroxysme le 5 novembre\"", means "Alain Bauer: The mobilization will reach its peak on November 5." That is his forecast, not an announced outcome.
The discussion begins with the legal characterization and political handling of an attack in Trappes, before widening to what Bauer sees as divisions and inconsistency in France's political center over security and state authority. Ferrari also raises seizures of automatic weapons and their circulation in France.
The protest discussion begins about six minutes into the interview. Bauer examines different kinds of demonstrators, previous riots and the role of social networks. He places the unrest within France's long history of popular uprisings, arguing that confrontation has repeatedly become the mechanism through which negotiations begin. Later, the conversation connects public anger with the electoral timetable for 2027.
The final section turns to Bauer's book, Il faut sauver nos enfants, whose title means "We must save our children." He criticizes the state's response to child sexual abuse and says that 5.5 million people living in France experienced such abuse during childhood. He explicitly presents the book as a campaigning work rather than a neutral one.
The interview drew about 81,000 views since yesterday. Its headline forecast arrives midway through a broader argument about how French institutions anticipate danger, respond to anger and protect vulnerable people.
French criminologist and professor of criminology at the Conservatoire national des arts et métiers, a position he has held since 2009.
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Where next?
- Channel
- Europe 1
- Subscribers
- 2,300,000
- Channel views, pace per day
- 1,421,452 (on a normal day: 401,798)
- Video published
- October 29, 2026
- Video views so far
- 81,062 (less than a day online)
- Video views, pace per day
- 87,514
The numbers
The interview received about 81,000 views since yesterday, placing it among France's most watched new news-channel videos.


