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IrelandTony Kinnett challenges prediction markets as midterm results arrive
The Daily Signal's election-night broadcast passed a million views, alongside unusually strong viewing for Victor Davis Hanson's post-election analysis.
The Daily Signal
Story of Why this story? The video opened at a pace of 973,084 views a day, 12 times a normal first day on this channel (81,242).
🚨 ELECTION NIGHT 2026 LIVE RESULTS: Tony Kinnett's 5-Hour Midterm Coverage w/ Victor Davis Hanson
Things we can learn from the video
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- 0:54Kinnett reviews Indiana's 5th District contest between J.D. Ford and Victoria Spartz.
- 1:56He identifies Kentucky's 6th District contest as an early national bellwether.
- 3:00Kinnett criticizes prediction-market swings, arguing that social media is driving them rather than election evidence.
- 4:46He reports Florida voting delays and flood-related precinct relocations, followed by disruptions in other states.
- 15:18Decision Desk HQ projects Jon Ossoff winning Georgia's Senate race against Mike Collins.
"The prediction markets have been, to put it politely, really, really annoying," Tony Kinnett says early in The Daily Signal's election-night broadcast.
His complaint is that markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket swing with social media rather than the election evidence. Instead, he directs attention to early House contests, including Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, which he identifies as a potential national bellwether.
The five-hour edition of The Tony Kinnett Cast drew nearly a million views in its first day, roughly twelve times the channel's usual start for longer videos. It has since crossed the million-view mark.
The opening stretch moves between returns and the practical obstacles to voting. Kinnett reports on Florida precincts relocated because of flooding, then turns to power outages, scanner problems and a tornado-related relocation elsewhere. About a quarter-hour into the broadcast, he delivers a concrete Senate result: Decision Desk HQ projects Jon Ossoff defeating Mike Collins in Georgia.
The channel's post-election discussion is drawing attention too. Two Hanson videos, examining the implications for Trump's presidency and the next presidential election, are running well above its usual viewing pace. In the latter, Hanson argues that weak candidates, poor messaging and divisions within the MAGA movement helped produce Republican losses, rather than treating the result simply as a rejection of Trump's agenda.
A Democrat who has served as Georgia’s senior U.S. senator since 2021.
More on Wikipedia ›A Republican politician and businessman who has represented Georgia’s 10th congressional district in the U.S. House since 2023.
More on Wikipedia ›Published on Trari
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- Channel
- The Daily Signal
- Subscribers
- 1,230,000 ▲ 10,000 this week
- Channel views, last 7 days
- 8,967,033
- Channel views, pace per day
- 2,401,670 (on a normal day: 1,039,933)
- Video published
- November 3, 2026
- Video views so far
- 1,055,363 (2 days online)
- Video views, pace per day
- 661,712
The numbers
The election-night broadcast drew far more first-day views than a typical longer Daily Signal upload. Hanson's two follow-up analyses also had unusually fast starts.
💡 Test your knowledge
Which state supplies the early House bellwether Kinnett highlights in this broadcast?
Kinnett identifies Kentucky's 6th Congressional District contest as an early bellwether.