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Shakhnazarov warns of Russian collapse and questions air-war expectations

A Ukrainian report pairs the Russian filmmaker's televised warning with Moscow's negotiating demands and the Kremlin's insistence that talks will not halt combat.

Channel: 24 Kanal ·

UkraineStory of October 30, 2026Trari Newsroom

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24 Канал: A Ukrainian news channel from Lviv, on air since 2006. 9.1M subscribers and 18B views.

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0:00Shakhnazarov warns about Russian collapse and questions expectations that an air war can deliver Russia's aims.
3:36Solovyov describes drone warfare approaching Moscow; the presenter then cites reports of air defenses around Putin's Valdai residence.
5:18A reported Russian negotiating demand would push NATO forces back to 1997 positions; Ushakov calls for European involvement.
7:21A dubbed Rubio excerpt addresses oil markets, energy trade and relations with India.
8:46The presenter reviews Zelenskyy's negotiating red lines, followed by Peskov saying territorial questions could be discussed.
12:04Peskov says renewed three-party negotiations do not restrict ongoing military operations.

Karen Shakhnazarov invokes the collapse of past empires and questions whether Russia can achieve its aims through an air war in a Russian state television excerpt featured by Ukraine's Channel 24 (24 Канал).

Presenter Yana Bohoslavska makes the filmmaker's remarks the starting point for a bulletin about the war's consequences inside Russia and the terms Moscow wants to bring to negotiations. Shakhnazarov, who became head of the Mosfilm studio in 1998, warns about the risk of Russian collapse. His excerpt questions military expectations rather than announcing a change in Kremlin policy.

The program places that warning alongside contrasting messages from other prominent Russian television figures. Margarita Simonyan argues that Western actions are intended to stir public discontent and says other countries envy Russia. Vladimir Solovyov describes drone warfare drawing close to Moscow and discusses working alongside air defense units.

Bohoslavska also reports a freight train derailment and fire in the Urals, examines Elon Musk's expression of sympathy for Russian conscripts, and cites open-source intelligence reports alleging that dozens of air defense positions surround Vladimir Putin's residence on Lake Valdai. Those are reports presented by the program, not independently established findings here.

The diplomatic section centers on a Telegraph report that Russia hopes to use Ukraine peace negotiations to weaken NATO, including a reported demand for NATO forces to withdraw to their 1997 positions. That would reach beyond Ukraine to the alliance's military presence in countries that joined after that year. In an accompanying excerpt, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov argues that negotiations must involve Europe, not Kyiv alone.

A Russian-dubbed segment featuring U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio addresses global oil markets, energy trade and relations with India. The presenter then reviews Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's remarks about drone reconnaissance and negotiating red lines, before playing Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov's response that territorial questions could become subjects for discussion.

The bulletin also includes a Russian television pundit's assessment of Donald Trump's approach to a possible settlement. Its final substantive excerpt draws a distinction between diplomacy and a ceasefire: Peskov says resuming three-party negotiations does not impose restrictions on military operations.