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IrelandMax Velocity flags Pagosa Springs flooding and Monday's tornado risk
His forecast follows moisture into the Southwest before shifting to severe storms across Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas.
Max Velocity - Severe Weather Center
Story of No. 57 on the daily chartNo. 9 on the News chart
Why this story? 806,506 views so far, and here is what is inside it.
This Storm Just Got WORSE...
Things we can learn from the video
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- 0:50An atmospheric river supplies Southwest moisture as a deep low-pressure system develops.
- 3:07Flood watches cover six states; saturated ground and burn scars increase concern about runoff.
- 6:23Max forecasts river levels near historic records around Pagosa Springs, Colorado.
- 8:11Sunday's outlook includes strong-tornado potential in New Mexico and Texas.
- 9:16Monday's severe-weather risk extends across Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas, followed by an hour-by-hour model walkthrough.
- 13:45The threat shifts east Tuesday and Wednesday before a forecast late-week cold plunge.
The ground is already saturated. In Max Velocity's Sunday forecast, that makes the next round of rain especially concerning across the Desert Southwest, with southwestern Colorado's Pagosa Springs drawing his closest attention.
"Now the area that I am personally the most concerned about is Pagosa Springs in southwestern Colorado," he says. He forecasts enough rain to push river levels near historic records, part of a wider flooding threat that also includes vulnerable burn scars.
The upload, titled "This Storm Just Got WORSE...", gives the flood setup an extended explanation rather than moving straight to tornado maps. Max describes an atmospheric river feeding moisture into the region and outlines flood watches in six states, including Arizona, Utah and Colorado. Saturated ground leaves less room for additional rainfall to soak in.
The next concern is farther east. After examining Sunday's severe-weather potential in New Mexico and Texas, he identifies Monday's setup across Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas as potentially more significant, with a risk of strong tornadoes. His hour-by-hour model walkthrough considers how individual storms could develop and organize into a line.
The outlook then carries the severe-weather threat toward the Mississippi Valley, Southeast and Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by a late-week cold plunge. For viewers looking beyond the title's warning, the useful distinction is geographic: flooding gets the detailed Southwest treatment, while the central states get the closer examination of tornado potential.
Published on Trari
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- Video published
- November 1, 2026
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The numbers
The forecast has drawn about 807,000 views. Its viewing pace is ordinary for Max Velocity's regular uploads.
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What does an atmospheric river transport through the atmosphere?
An atmospheric river is a relatively narrow corridor carrying large amounts of water vapor.