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IrelandGraham Stephan puts the Fed pause beside midterm market history
His election-cycle analysis passed half a million views, with the promised historical comparison arriving eight minutes in.
Graham Stephan
Story of Why this story? The channel's weekly summary: what went up this week, what is drawing views now, and where the channel stands among similar channels.
BREAKING: The Fed Just Froze Rates — Here’s What Happens After EVERY Midterm Since 1950!
Things we can learn from the video
Press to jump
- 1:23Rising Treasury yields can increase borrowing costs for mortgages and other debt.
- 3:41Stephan argues that AI-driven gains leave the S&P 500 heavily dependent on a small group of companies.
- 8:11He examines post-midterm stock returns since 1950, without treating the historical pattern as a guarantee.
- 11:00The Fed holds rates unchanged, while Warsh declines to prejudge future meetings.
- 13:01Stephan assesses valuations using Shiller CAPE and explains his approach to cash, diversification, debt and emergency savings.
The pause needs unpacking. Graham Stephan's most watched upload of the week asks why unchanged Federal Reserve rates can coexist with rising borrowing costs, then turns to the market's record around midterm elections.
He starts with Treasury yields and their effect on mortgages and other debt before examining how heavily the S&P 500 depends on a small group of technology companies. The election-history section arrives around 8:11: Stephan says the index has been higher a year after every midterm election since 1950, while acknowledging that the pattern guarantees nothing about this time. Federal Reserve press conference footage follows, with Kevin Warsh declining to prejudge future meetings. The video includes a sponsored segment for SoFi cryptocurrency services.
That upload has passed roughly 506,000 views and is the channel's busiest video right now. The other new arrival, "NBA Player On Using Facebook MarketPlace...", offers a very different money-related subject. Meanwhile, September's "Ranking The BEST Credit Cards 💳" remains among the uploads drawing the most daily views.
Across the channel, daily viewing is running at more than twice its usual pace, though the subscriber count was unchanged over the week. Bloomberg Originals, at the same subscriber size, added subscribers and considerably more weekly views; CNBC also had an unchanged subscriber count, with daily viewing below its usual level.
Stephan closes his market analysis with a distinction between predicting a downturn and being able to withstand one: "I don't try to time the market, but I like to make sure I'm never going to be a forced seller..."
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The videos drawing views on Graham Stephan right now
- Channel
- Graham Stephan
- Subscribers
- 5,180,000
- Channel views, last 7 days
- 995,030
- Videos published this week
- 2
- Video published
- October 28, 2026
- Video views so far
- 505,605
- Views on its first day
- 437,033
The numbers
Here is how Graham Stephan's audience and viewing moved over the past week.
💡 Test your knowledge
Which index anchors Stephan's discussion of returns after midterm elections?
Stephan examines the S&P 500's historical performance following US midterm elections.