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US border's Republican shift puts House contests in focus

Mexico's NMás examines whether Trump's gains in heavily Hispanic border communities can carry into the congressional elections.

Why this story? One of NMás's most watched videos since yesterday, with 53,047 views.

NMás: N+, the news brand of TelevisaUnivision in Mexico. 9.4M subscribers and 8.5B views.

Así se ve el mapa político en la frontera a horas de las elecciones intermedias en EE. UUAsí se ve el mapa político en la frontera a horas de las elecciones intermedias en EE. UU
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Donald Trump is not on the midterm ballot. For Republicans along the US-Mexico border, the question is whether the communities that backed him will also support the party's congressional candidates.

Mexican news channel NMás explores that challenge through an interactive election map, with journalist Fernanda Caso and data analyst Andrés Echevarría tracing a substantial Republican advance across successive presidential elections.

Caso starts with 2012, when Republicans won eight of the 25 counties bordering Mexico. Their tally rose to nine in 2016 and eleven in 2020. By 2024, Trump had won eighteen, according to the report. The sequence shows that the shift preceded his most recent victory, rather than appearing in a single election.

The presenters connect those results to a broader movement toward Republicans among Latino voters. Echevarría points beyond the border to Miami-Dade in Florida and the Bronx in New York, then highlights Imperial County in California for its heavily Hispanic population.

South Texas is central to his argument. He emphasizes the concentration of overwhelmingly Hispanic counties there and poses the electoral challenge for Republicans: translating presidential support into votes in the 2026 midterms.

Caso closes by bringing the discussion back to competitive House districts. All seats in the House of Representatives are being contested in these elections, during Trump's second presidential term. The border map supplies historical context for those contests, not a forecast of their results: the Republican gains on screen came from presidential ballots, while today's voters are choosing who represents them in Congress.

Published on Trari

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The facts
Channel
NMás
Subscribers
9,350,000
Channel views, last 7 days
22,217,531
Channel views, pace per day
1,558,197 (on a normal day: 2,439,598)
Video published
November 2, 2026
Video views so far
53,047 (less than a day online)
Video views, pace per day
92,979

The numbers

The report drew about 53,000 views since yesterday, placing it among Mexico's most-watched new news uploads.

subscribers
9,350,000
no significant change in the last 7 days
total views
8,435,097,653
views per day
1,558,197
typical day: 2,439,598
the video
views
53,047
likes
121
comments
17
days online
1
As of November 3, 2026 · Data source: Trari Social News, Trari Traffic Trends and Ranking Platform, Google YouTube
Subscriber, view, like and comment counts are YouTube's. Rates, usual days, rankings, comparisons and categories are Trari's own calculations.
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