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Iran's anticipated military orders put decentralized defense in focus

Military analyst Mohammed al-Smadi describes regional response plans and a possible U.S. attack sequence, while distinguishing military pressure from a decision to strike.

Channel: Al Araby Arabic channel ·

Arab worldStory of November 1, 2026Trari Newsroom

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العربي - أخبار : The Arabic television channel Al Araby, broadcasting from London since 2015, owned by a company backed by Qatar. 12M subscribers and 9.7B views.

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0:00Iranian television's announcement of anticipated strategic orders prompts questions about a meeting with senior military commanders.
1:21Al-Smadi describes 31 military regions intended to deliver decentralized responses under centralized planning.
3:00He characterizes the American buildup as force projection, pressure and deterrence, rather than confirming an attack decision.
4:40His hypothetical attack sequence begins with electronic warfare, then targets leadership, radar, air defenses, drones and infrastructure.
5:51The final exchange considers whether infrastructure attacks could stir domestic unrest and advance an effort to change Iran's government.

Iran could respond to an attack through regional military commands operating under a central plan, military analyst Mohammed al-Smadi says in an interview about anticipated orders from the country's supreme leader.

The discussion on Al Araby Television, based in Qatar, begins with an Iranian television announcement that the leader is meeting senior armed forces commanders and will issue important strategic instructions. A later ticker attributes a similar announcement to Iran's Fars news agency. The interview examines what those signals might mean rather than presenting the text of the orders.

Speaking from Ajloun, Jordan, al-Smadi argues that Iran's leadership increasingly sees confrontation with Washington as an existential conflict. He describes plans to divide the country into 31 military regions, allowing decentralized responses if an attack disrupts central command. In his account, the overall planning would remain centralized while regional forces would carry out their own responses.

Asked whether additional American aircraft and troops signal pressure or imminent military action, al-Smadi characterizes the buildup at that point as a combination of force projection, pressure and deterrence. He also argues that Washington wants influence over energy resources and a reshaped regional geopolitical order. Those are his interpretations of American aims.

The presenter then asks what a renewed U.S. attack might target. Al-Smadi outlines a possible opening involving electronic warfare and jamming, followed by attacks on leadership, radar installations, air defenses, drone sites and infrastructure. He presents this as a scenario, not an announced operational plan.

The closing exchange considers whether attacks on energy facilities and other infrastructure could provoke unrest inside Iran. Al-Smadi links that possibility to an effort to change the government, while discussing whether such an approach could succeed or fail.

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